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Coffee Shop Break-Even Calculator: how many cups a day keep the lights on?

A $5 latte costs about $1 to make. Sounds like a money printer — until rent, payroll, and insurance land. This calculator turns your real fixed costs into the one number that matters: the drinks you have to sell every single day before you make a dollar. Built from documented 2026 industry figures. Not a guess. Not a sales pitch.

Find your break-even point

Enter your numbers on the left. Where a cost is a documented industry range instead of your quote, we show the full low/high band — anyone who hands you one exact number is guessing.

Your shop

Six questions, then a stress test. Updates as you go.

The benchmark example drink is a $5.00 latte. Add-ons — a pastry, a second shot, a retail bag — push a $4 order toward $7 with almost no added labor.
$ / order
Beverage-only shops run 75–80% gross margins. Add a food program and your blended cost of goods climbs to 25–35% of sales.
The benchmark P&L month runs $3,000. Healthy shops keep rent + utilities near 10–15% of revenue — this is the cost that quietly kills shops in expensive markets.
$ / month
The benchmark month runs $6,000. Labor is usually the biggest line — 25–35% of revenue. Behind the counter yourself? Enter only what you'll pay out; your sweat drops the break-even hard.
$ / month
Real 2026 carrier pricing. A working package runs $150–$500/mo for most independent cafes.
Every day you're closed, the fixed costs keep running.
days

Now stress-test it

Break-even is the floor. These two answers estimate your profit and how fast you earn your startup money back.

For scale: shops span roughly $9,000 to over $50,000 in monthly revenue — at a $5 ticket and 30 days, that's about 60 to 330+ orders a day.
orders / day
Documented 2026 tiers. Get your own number first with our startup cost calculator.

Your break-even point

What you must sell before a single dollar is profit.

Drinks / orders per day to break even
00
at a $5 average ticket, 30 days a month
Daily revenue needed to break even $0–$0
Want the full P&L behind this math? The Coffee Shop Kit pairs this with a complete P&L and financial-projection model — plug in your real lease, labor, and pricing and see your actual margin before you sign anything. (Free email worksheet coming soon — for now, the full model lives in the kit below.)

Where these numbers come from

This is a planning estimate, not a forecast — and it is not financial advice. Your lease, your labor, and your menu move every figure. The documented ranges used here are the same ones in our published coffee-shop guides:

Per-drink economics (a $5.00 latte carries about $1.00 in beans, milk, syrup, cup, and lid — an 80% gross margin; beverage gross margins run 75–80%, and a blended menu with food runs 25–35% cost of goods), the benchmark P&L month ($20,000 revenue · $5,000 cost of goods · $6,000 labor · $3,000 rent and utilities), cost shares (labor 25–35% of revenue · rent + utilities 10–15% · other operating 5–10%), net-margin bands (2.5–6% conservative average · 13.8% independent-shop average · 10–25% healthy established), and the monthly revenue span ($9,000 to over $50,000): our Average Coffee Shop Profit Margin breakdown, drawn from the Restaurant Warehouse profitability guide, the Crimson Cup study cited by Just Love Coffee, and the Independent Coffee Shop Industry Report. Insurance (a working package runs $150–$500/mo; bare-bones cafe — BOP + workers' comp for two employees — $180–$250/mo; fully loaded cafe $400–$500/mo): our Coffee Shop Insurance cost guide, anchored to The Hartford's published 2026 cafe pricing. Startup investment tiers (small cafe/kiosk $80K–$140K · standard indie shop $150K–$250K · full-service with food $250K–$350K+): our "How much does it cost to open a coffee shop?" breakdown.

Deliberately not modeled (so your real break-even sits a bit higher): marketing, repairs, and POS fees — our profit-margin breakdown puts total "other operating" costs (which include the insurance we count separately here) at 5–10% of revenue — plus loan payments, taxes, waste, and any owner pay you didn't put in the payroll box. Budget those on top. Verify every figure with local quotes before you spend a dollar. Spotted something off? Tell us.

Keep planning

More free tools and guides, no email needed.

Know your daily number? Now build the shop that beats it.

This is the lite version. The full Coffee Shop Kit includes the complete P&L and financial-projection model (plug in your real rent, labor, and pricing), the startup budget calculator, equipment vendor lists, pre-opening checklist, business plan template, and 40+ more files — everything from idea to opening day, already built and branded.

Built by Opening Day Kit — the startup kit for hospitality operators. Tools, not theory.  |  Estimate only; verify locally.
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